What climate research findings and reports have you found to be most helpful?
Hi John,
I'm rather late to the party here, but I did find this publication (from January 2019) that seems to address your point that the areas hardest hit by climate change align with many of the counties that voted for Trump in 2016. A valuable excerpt from the end of the page: "Along these lines, we estimate that counties that voted for President Trump in 2016 will experience on average a nearly 5-percent loss of GDP [related to climate happenings] compared to the smaller 3.3 percent loss borne by counties that voted for Hillary Clinton. Similarly, congressional districts that in November voted Republican face a 4.4 percent GDP tax from climate change compared to the smaller 2.7 percent loss projected for districts that voted Democratic."
I also found this relevant article from the San Diego Union-Tribune titled "States that voted for Trump to be hardest hit by climate change — as concerns over warming surge" from February 4, 2019.
Both of those publications speak more about the economic side of things.
The climate science side of things is a little more complicated, as the lecture covered, and defining areas that will be "hardest hit" is, in my experience, contentious ground. But, if you have time for a little investigating and exploring the nuances of that for more recent and upcoming years, I recommend checking out two resources:
(1) the maps of areas that will experience different kinds of climate change impacts on the American Communities Project (from February 2021) and
(2) the "extremely detailed" map of the 2020 election results from the New York Times (and, just for good measure, a link to the less interactive 2016 map of votes by county).
Looking at those resources and comparing the maps side-by-side really helped me visualize the areas that are likely to be "hardest hit" and mentally overlay that data with the poll data.
I hope this is helpful!
Best,
Amber
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